The Prudent I nvestor's Guide to Beating Wall Street at Its Own Game

Author: Daniel C. Goldie, John J., Jr. Bowen
List Price: $24.95
Our Price: Click to see the latest and low price
ISBN: 0070527601
Publisher: McGraw-Hill Trade (30 June, 1998)
Sales Rank: 99,404
Average Customer Rating: 4.62 out of 5

Customer Reviews

Rating: 5 out of 5
The Best Investment Primer
Goldie and Bowen have put into laymen's terms what most Wall St. professionals and money managers do not know-- that no one can time markets, sectors, or pick individual (mispriced) securities with any consistency.The authors articulate a core investment approach that effectively makes all other investment strategies look like speculation. We all have heard that diversification is your friend but few,(even the most sophisticated advisors) understand the meaning of true global diversification,i.e.constructing a portfolio of asset classes which do not move in tandem(some zig when the others zag) in order to reduce the volatility or standard deviation of the portfolio and hence increase its compound return. As a result one can have a portfolio which includes some relatively risky asset classes but in the aggregate is more conservative. How many of us today wish we had taken this advice and included reits,short fixed income and international small cap value into our mix? As the authors point out, who knows what asset classes will be in favor tomorrow. However, if we follow this approach,we will capture their returns and a bit extra for reasons which they spell out.Goldie and Bowen clearly show the benefits of maintaining your target asset class weightings and the need to periodically rebalance when one class gets out of line.Just as compelling are the chapters that explain which asset classes pay you for the risk you take (eg. small cap vs. large cap and value vs. growth) and which ones do not (such as longer maturity fixed income). In my opinion this is the best primer for those who are interested in long term investing. The authors give us an understanding of the tools necessary to construct a core portfolio. Clearly we would all be better served to follow this advice with our investment capital and understand that stock picking, buying the hot fund, or timing the market (in other words what 99% of the world mistakenly views as investing) is really speculation. While these principles are timeless, given the returns of just two asset classes,the S&P 500 and the NASDAQ these past few years, this book should now reach a more responsive audience.


Rating: 2 out of 5
Confused arguments paper over a sales pitch
I think the author's focus on asset class mutual funds useful, but that's only half the story. If you spend your time reading this, you won't learn anything about taking care of assets. All you learn is the standard Wall Street diatribe:

1. No one can predict the market (except for Wall Street Professionals)
2. The biggest mistake you can make is taking your money out of stocks and bonds once they are deposited (except to pay your advisor).
3. Don't trust your instincts, trust your Wall Street professional's instincts.

At the end of the book, probably hoping they have convinced their reader of his utter ignorance regarding money management, they kindly offer a chapter on finding your 'financial advisor', closing with their own email mailing addresses.

Guess what you are supposed to do.

The book is full of odd contradictions.

1. It's title proudly claims to be about 'beating' Wall Street, but the conclusion extols reliance on a 'financial advisor'.

2. For the first 3 chapters, the authors claim to accept 'random walk' theories, and points out the inability of top ranked fund managers to maintain their ranking as proof of the randomness of the market. For the remainder of the book, we are constantly advised only a professional can distinguish a long term positive rate of return. In other words, it's not a random walk. The guy's picking your asset class funds can suddenly defeat the random walk.

3. There is a chapter on defining your financial goals, but when determining your 'investment time frame', the authors advise using your life expectancy. Let me explain this to you. They advise putting your money in a Wall Street fund and updating your will. You should never plan on 'cashing out' and enjoying your rewards. That's pretty safe investment advice, if the client is alive, the money should stay put and the plan is still on track, even if it is down 70%. If he's dead, he won't sue over the bad advice.

4. In chapter 6 and 7, they advise ignoring tax implications. Chapter 8 is on investing with taxes in mind.

5. In the intro, the authors promise to show you how to do the math yourself. At the end of the book, there is just a bunch of formulas that refer to other formulas with values left undefined. I guess they figured no one was going to follow the math, and if they would, they were not their type of client, anyway.


Rating: 5 out of 5
The Best Investment Strategy Book you will read.
I have spent about two years researching financial strategies by getting input from top tier professional advisors, perusing web sites, and reading books. Of all the information I've gotten, this book provides the most concise and effective approach to how to allocate your investment funds.

What you will learn through this book (backed by academic research primarily by the University of Chicago):

1) An overview of modern portfolio theory, which states that there is an optimal risk/reward curve that allows you to determine the appropriate mix between stocks and bonds for any given expected level of return or tolerance for risk.

2) Regardless of your tolerance for risk or desire for reward, the only thing that changes is the overall % allocation between stocks and bonds. When any investor looks at stocks, they should have the same makeup of stocks in their porfolio (international, large cap value, small cap, etc.). The difference between more and less agressive investors is that the stock composition will be a bigger piece of their pie.

3) Statistical analysis that gives strong proof that index funds ... beat mutual funds handily over the long run by several percentage points.

This book has provided me with the best framework for investing. It's a little redundant (as most informational books are), but well worth the read. I've purchased many copies of it and given them to friends and family.

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