The Triumph of Politics: Why the Reagan Revolution Failed
Author: David Alan Stockman
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ISBN: 0060155604
Publisher: HarperCollins (May, 1986)
Sales Rank: 703,245
Average Customer Rating: 3.8 out of 5
Customer Reviews
Rating: 5 out of 5
A classic of 20th century American politics
It's unfortunate that a couple of my fellow reviewers let their partisan ire blind them to the valuable lessons in national fiscal policy in this book. Stockman's basic thesis is that the supply-side revolution had three main components:(1) a large tax cut package, (2) "painful" spending cuts, and (3) a hard-money monetary policy. Stockman makes a very persuasive argument that the Reagan Administration was unwilling to soften hard-line stance on the tax cut when it was obvious that (2) was not being taken care of and (3) was inconsistent with this policy. Even when the dangers of this course became clear, the Administration shut its eyes to reality and hoped for the best.Contrary to the reviewer below, I don't think Stockman argues that the Laffer curve was "discredited" in an intellectual sense, but rather that it was only applicable in an inflationary economy; Paul Volcker's tightening actions at the Federal Reserve denied this crucial condition. As to the reviewer with the childish "liberal propaganda" claim, Stockman clearly makes the point that Republicans and Democrats alike were unwilling to make the drastic spending cuts needed to offset the revenue loss. (And regardless of your political affiliation, I'm not sure how you can defend the economic wisdom of a president who doesn't understand such rudimentary concepts as the difference between current and constant dollars). And as to the idea that Rosy Scenario wasn't all that important, how else would you explain that the mounting debt feared by Stockman actually materialized? Say what you will, Stockman's predictions turned out to be right. It would be wrong to characterize Stockman's book as an attack on Republicans, or supply-side economics per se. It is rather a warning to would-be ideologues who would attempt to impose their dreams on an uncooperative world, a lesson that both liberals and conservatives should take to heart.
Rating: 4 out of 5
Why the revolution failed
Without really addressing the issue in depth, Stockman shows that the "Reagan Revolution" failed because it was not Reagans Revolution. As noted above, the "revolution" had three parts: (1) the tax cut (2) the spending cuts and (3) "hard money." The only part that Reagan ever really embraced was the tax cut. The rest was the brain child of Stockman and Phil Grahm; although the Kemp/Laffer/Wanninski crowd all favored the gold standard but never really fought for it once they got the tax cut. Its obvious that Reagan swallowed the Laffer Curce hook line and sinker (see the Flynt Michigan Speech) but it seems he never had the will or the understanding for spending cuts and hard money.
The stongest feature of the book is Stockmans admission and exposition of the fact that even if all of the spending cuts he asked for were enacted, triple digit deficits would have accumulated anyway.
Moreover, the foolish Rosy scenario assumption (which was the real cause of the deficits) boggles the mind and I credit Stockman for fessing up to it. It is astounding that such intelligent men thought they could create unprecedented economic growth overnight, and then had the nerve to base the federal budget on such assumptions. Unfortunately the current president fell into this same trap, at least in part, during the tax cut debate this spring. (Nearly every economist except those in OMB and CBO realizes that the surpluss projections were nonsense.)
All in all this is a very good, very well documented and very honest book. A good companion is Daniel Patrick Moynihan's "Came the Revolution: Argument in the Reagan Era"
Rating: 5 out of 5
American Political Analysis at its Best
To discover the subject matter of this book, you can look to other reviews. I will confine my comments to my own opinion, for what it's worth.
I have read this book several times, now randomly picking pages for a starting point. No other book comes close to understanding America's domestic political process. It is an intelligent view from the trenches, like Robert Graves' "Goodbye to All That".
A reader must understand that Stockman writes with a quick, wry sense of humour. He's beyond tongue in cheek. It could be titled "The Education of David Stockman". The content is fascinating (the right should take notice), but so is the style (the left has to marvel)!
This one is an esoteric classic - better than 'Six Crises'. Similar Products
The New Politics of Public Policy
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